Michael Pachter Predicts Titanfall 2 for PS4

March 4, 2014 by Cheats.co Staff - Leave a comment

ps4

We’ve previously brought you a few predictions from financial analyst Michael Pachter, and his latest thoughts on the gaming industry relate to Titanfall. If a Titanfall sequel is made, he doesn’t think it will be exclusive to Xbox platforms and the PC. In fact, he believes “this might be the last exclusive you see for a long time that’s third party.”

According to Pachter, EA expected the Xbox One to be vastly more successful than the PS4, which is why they made the exclusivity deal. He also said that he thinks they would never have made the deal if they knew what the price difference between the two consoles was going to be.

So far, the PS4 has definitely beat the Xbox One in terms of sales and demand, even with Titanfall being such a highly-anticipated title. Titanfall may move a lot of consoles, but we can’t help but think it would sell a lot more copies if it was available on Sony’s platforms as well, and it isn’t out of the realm of possibility that EA is thinking the same thing.

Additionally, we’d previously heard rumors that Sony was trying to make a deal to get future entries in the Titanfall series, which makes sense from Sony’s side as well. Titanfall is huge right now. So while we don’t always agree with Pachter’s assessments, this time we can see a lot of support for his prediction.

Once Titanfall launches in a week, its sales figures should provide an even clearer picture of where the IP might go in the future.

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Pachter Predicts Success for PS4, Failure for Morpheus

March 24, 2014 by Samantha Lienhard - Leave a comment

ps4c0ntroller

In the past, we’ve brought you several of analyst Michael Pachter’s predictions, not all of which we agreed with. Well, here’s what he’s had to say about Sony’s recent gaming endeavors, when asked by DualShockers.

While he doesn’t know enough about Sony to speak for the company’s success overall, he sees a bright future for the PS4. He predicts “wild success” for the console, which is certainly how thinks appear so far.

However, he believes Project Morpheus is going to be a failure. He doesn’t think Microsoft should attempt VR technology, either. He says it’s fine for a small company, like the Oculus Rift, but not for multiple, large companies. He believes the market for virtual reality games will be quite small.

It sounds interesting, but I don’t think there will be enough content to justify making the capital investment to create the headset. I think it’s chicken and egg. If there’s no content you’re not gonna buy a virtual reality headset, and if you don’t buy a virtual reality headset, there won’t be any content, because no one will make a dedicated game for a very small audience.

He makes an interesting point there. What he’s describing is similar to the cycle the Wii U has found itself in, where developers are reluctant to make games because no one is buying the Wii U, and players are reluctant to buy the Wii U because not enough developers are making games for it. On the other hand, reactions to Project Morpheus have been highly positive, and many players view VR as the way of the future.

What do you think? Is Project Morpheus just a tiny blip in the gaming market, or will it grow to something huge?

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Pachter Dismisses PlayStation Now as a “Joke”

February 5, 2014 by Cheats.co Staff - Leave a comment

playstation-now

Yesterday, we learned that industry analyst Michael Pachter feels GTA V would not be successful on next-gen consoles. Today, we learned that he doesn’t hold out high hopes for PlayStation Now, which will allow players to stream games to their Sony consoles, tablets, Bravia TVs, and more.

He didn’t exactly mince his words, either. When interviewed by Game Informer on the matter, Pachter told them:

PlayStation Now is a joke. There is no publisher that is going to license content that’s less than two years old because they would be concerned that they can’t sell as many copies if they make it available for subscription or rental. This has no prayer of working. None.

Despite his analysis, PlayStation Now has seen generally positive reactions and predictions. According to John Koller, the marketing VP of SCEA, publishers are quite interested in the service.

Pachter could be right about developers not wanting to release new games to the service, but we think he’s being rather harsh nevertheless. He’s also overlooked a very big part of PlayStation Now’s appeal—the ability to stream old games. After all, a lot of fans are interested in PlayStation Now because of its potential for backwards compatibility.

What do you think? Will PlayStation Now see success, or is it doomed to failure?

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Pachter: PS4 will win, Xbox One second, Wii U “is toast”

November 13, 2013 by Cheats.co Staff - Leave a comment

xbox-one-vs-ps4

Speaking at the London Games Conference, well-known video games weatherman analyst Michael Pachter has said he expects the Playstation 4 to win this generation’s console war and that the Wii U “is toast”.

Pachter thinks Sony will sell between 100 and 120 million PS4 units during its lifecycle and that Microsoft will sell between 90 and 110 million Xbox One units – numbers that are still very close to each other. Meanwhile Pachter believes the Wii U will turnover just 30 million units.

Key wins for the PS4 appear to be its price point ($100 cheaper than Xbox One) and that Sony is not forcing you to purchase the PS Eye camera (Pachter said that “gamers do not want Kinect”). That said, he thinks that the Xbox One’s TV features could prove popular provided there is sufficient adoption by/integration with third party TV services.

It’s not all bad news for Xbox One fans either, Pachter said that if Microsoft changed its pricing policy and made the Xbox One more affordable, then it and the PS4 could be “neck and neck”. Considering how far Microsoft has come since it first revealed the Xbox One, we tend to agree.

Via MCVUK.

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Pachter: PS4 will out-sell Xbox One at launch

September 29, 2013 by Cheats.co Staff - Leave a comment

ps4-xbox-one-controllers

Michael Pachter is a fairly well-known financial analyst within the gaming industry. Some calls he gets right, others he gets wrong. His latest is that the Playstation 4 will out-sell the Xbox One at launch. The reasons why, strictly speaking, aren’t because of demand though.

Discussing the topic on his Pach Attack show (embedded below), Pachter said that while both Microsoft and Sony will be able to sell every single console that they can ship, the Playstation 4 will outsell the Xbox One. So this just means he believes Sony are going to manufacture more PS4 consoles in time for launch than Microsoft can manufacture Xbox Ones.

Patcher also predicted that more than one million units of each of the Playstation 4 and the Xbox One will be sold within the first two weeks of their respective releases. As far as actual numbers go he had the following to say:

I guess the first couple of weeks 1.5 million [Playstation 4] and Xbox One probably 1 million, so 2.5 million combined, which is a lot. That’s what I think you are going to see.

That both consoles are going to sell out is a no-brainer, so it looks like this really will come down to manufacturing numbers. The console-maker that can make the most units wins – at least initially.

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Wedbush’s Predictions for Console Sales – PS4 to Win

February 12, 2014 by Cheats.co Staff - Leave a comment

xbox-one-vs-ps4

There is a new analysis out from Wedbush’s Equity Research Department, and this time the analysts have made some predictions about what future sales numbers will look like for the PS4, Xbox One, and Wii U.

They predict that during this year, the PS4 will sell 12 million units, the Xbox One will sell 9 million units, and the Wii U will sell 3 million units. Their view of the Wii U is pretty bleak, and they believe the PS4 will have a lead on the Xbox One due to its lower price. In fact, they also expect Nintendo to lose up to 80% of sales, as Wii users turn to the PS4 and Xbox One instead of the Wii U, and believe most third party publishers will abandon the Wii U.

The report also anticipates 15 million annual sales for the 3DS, with some of its potential consumer base taken away by smartphones and tablets. It did not give a sales prediction for the PS Vita, but predicted general declines of interest in handheld game systems.

Wedbush believes the video game software market in general will generate $12 billion in sales in 2014, $14 billion in 2015, and $16 in 2016.

By 2016, the analysts expect the PS4 to have sold 40 million units, the Xbox One to have sold 32 million units, and the Wii U to have sold 10 million units.

They don’t feel PlayStation Now will affect the market at all, which isn’t surprising considering the head analyst was Michael Pachter, who previously made his negative opinion of PlayStation Now known.

These numbers are interesting, but we suggest you keep in mind that they are predictions, not concrete facts. We aren’t sure about all of these numbers. If their specific analyses interest you, you can check out the full 174-page report here and let us know what you think.

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PS4 to dominate console war through 2016

January 1, 2014 by Cheats.co Staff - Leave a comment

pachter

Michael Pachter, a financial analyst for the video games industry who we’ve written about many, many times in the past has some new predictions and recently revealed his thoughts on the next generation of consoles through to the year 2016.

Pachter recently sent the email you can see quoted below to various investors and other people who like to know about these matters, but the gist of it is as follows:

  • 37.7 million PS4 consoles will be sold by the middle of 2016.
  • 29 million Xbox One consoles will be sold by the same time.
  • The Wii U will do fairly poorly with sales of under 20 million by that date too.
  • The PS4 will drop to $299.99 by the year 2016.
  • The Xbox One will be $349.99 by the middle of 2016.
  • Brand new games will still cost $59.99 in 2016.

We expect Sony’s and Microsoft’s new consoles to thrive over the next three years, with cumulative worldwide sales of 37.7 million PS4 and 29 million Xbox One consoles by year-end 2016. We do not expect Nintendo’s Wii U to fare as well, with cumulative sales of under 20 million by 2016.

We expect a modest reversion to more normal software attach rates or “tie ratios,” with software sales of approximately 3 units annually over the next three years for each Xbox One and PS4 sold, and with tie ratios of just over 2 units for the Wii U and just under 1 unit for the 3DS. We think that Nintendo consoles are more susceptible to competition from mobile and tablet games, as we believe that a disproportionately high percentage of Nintendo customers play more casual games, and are therefore more likely to view mobile and tablet games as close substitutes to software developed for Nintendo’s platforms.

Software sales for the next-generation consoles are expected to grow to $12.2 billion by 2016. In contrast to the last cycle, we expect software sales for PS4 ($5.9 billion) and Xbox One ($4.9 billion) to dominate, with Wii U software capturing market share of only 11 percent. We expect overall software sales growth (including PC) in the U.S. and Europe combined (the addressable market for the publishers we cover) of 10 percent in 2014, 7 percent in 2015, and 6 percent in 2016.

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Analyst: PS4 to outsell Xbox One by 33%

June 23, 2013 by Cheats.co Staff - 6 Comments

xbox-one-vs-ps4

We all know that the Playstation 4 is killing it in terms of preorders. GameStop has said it would buy every single PS4 off Sony to satisfy the demand if it could (albeit jokingly) and the console has also been dominating the Amazon video games sales charts (although has now dropped out of first place with the Xbox One taking over…).

Financial analysis firm Wedbush Securities, which is a very vocal commentator in the video games sector, has also said that it expects the PS4 to outsell the Xbox One in the first year of both devices being on the market.

In an investment brief, Wedbush has said it expects between 12 and 15 million PS4 units to be sold in the first year, with 9 to 10 million Xbox One units to be sold in the same period. Two important points immediately come to mind:

  1. Those numbers looks extremely high to us – let’s stick to the lower end of the ranges for now.
  2. Given this is Wedbush Securities we’re talking about, Michael Pachter (lovingly referred to by many as the weatherman of the video games industry) probably came up with a lot of the analysis.

Still, going by the lower numbers, you have Sony selling four PS4 units for every three sold by Microsoft. That means Wedbush expects Sony to sell about 33% more PS4 consoles that Microsoft will sell Xbox Ones (in the first year) – a pretty sizable advantage for Sony in terms of getting their new console into people’s homes!

While all this is very much conjecture, there are the rumors of Microsoft experiencing low yields in Xbox One production (which appear to be somewhat legitimate and also backed up by the low game store allocations). So if X1 supply is constrained come launch day (with no corresponding lack of PS4 unit availability), a scenario somewhat similar to that above could be reality.

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Prediction: X1 to cost $399, PS4 to cost $349

June 3, 2013 by Cheats.co Staff - 1 Comment

Michael Pachter of Wedbush Morgan is the most well-known financial analyst of the video games industry and he has made some predictions concerning the price of the Xbox One and the Playstation 4.

Today Patcher told investors that he thinks the X1 will cost $399 and that the PS4 will cost $349. This is based on his cost pricing for the two consoles, which he put at $275 for the PS4 and $325 for the X1 (that is, it will cost Microsoft $50 to make the Xbox One than it costs Sony to make the PS4).

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For those of you who instantly think that the X1 price is too high, Patcher did say that the console could be subsidized (ie through a cable operator or ISP long-term contract) and that Microsoft will also offer a subscription model to lower the upfront cost (ie sign up for Xbox Live for 24 months and save ‘x’ dollars).

Pachter’s track record in terms of predictions is however very mixed (I like to think of him as the weatherman of the video games industry) so who knows if the actual prices will look anything like this. If they do, would you be happy?

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