Analyst: PS4 to outsell Xbox One by 33%


We all know that the Playstation 4 is killing it in terms of preorders. GameStop has said it would buy every single PS4 off Sony to satisfy the demand if it could (albeit jokingly) and the console has also been dominating the Amazon video games sales charts (although has now dropped out of first place with the Xbox One taking over…).

Financial analysis firm Wedbush Securities, which is a very vocal commentator in the video games sector, has also said that it expects the PS4 to outsell the Xbox One in the first year of both devices being on the market.

In an investment brief, Wedbush has said it expects between 12 and 15 million PS4 units to be sold in the first year, with 9 to 10 million Xbox One units to be sold in the same period. Two important points immediately come to mind:

  1. Those numbers looks extremely high to us – let’s stick to the lower end of the ranges for now.
  2. Given this is Wedbush Securities we’re talking about, Michael Pachter (lovingly referred to by many as the weatherman of the video games industry) probably came up with a lot of the analysis.

Still, going by the lower numbers, you have Sony selling four PS4 units for every three sold by Microsoft. That means Wedbush expects Sony to sell about 33% more PS4 consoles that Microsoft will sell Xbox Ones (in the first year) – a pretty sizable advantage for Sony in terms of getting their new console into people’s homes!

While all this is very much conjecture, there are the rumors of Microsoft experiencing low yields in Xbox One production (which appear to be somewhat legitimate and also backed up by the low game store allocations). So if X1 supply is constrained come launch day (with no corresponding lack of PS4 unit availability), a scenario somewhat similar to that above could be reality.

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  • gamer

    It will be much larger than 33% just going from preorders. People don’t like the Kinect, and the PS4 will have the better versions of games. The only reason there’s any percentage going MS’s way as of the moment is the loyalty of the hardcore faithful. But I predict PS4 to control more than half the marketshare when all is said and done, if not more.

    • Entrep

      Xbox One is currently top of the Amazon charts…

      • PS4_FTW

        Only because M$ dropped the restrictions; the PS4 will take over again soon.

        • Landsharkk

          Actually the exact opposite can be seen happening.

          Xbox One has been #1 seller on Amazon since the day it became available. PS4 overtook it for about 2 days before Xbox One went back on top.

          However, the #1 best selling device on Amazon in 2013 goes to PS4 (their day one launch edition which has sold out). By comparison, Xbox One was #8 until the drop of DRM, now it has moved up to #6 and continues to rise.

          Xbox One is on the rise while the PS4 console bundles have been dropping in position.

          • Entrep

            I think we need more time to see how this plays out :)

  • Venge Drac

    The last time I checked Amazon. The Bundles were taking it over. Xbox is slowly fading again.